Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009
2025-07-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011
2025-08-03 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013
2025-08-10 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015
2025-08-17 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018
2025-08-24 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000021
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024
2025-09-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028
2025-09-14 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031
2025-09-21 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000035
2025-09-28 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000019 0.000039
2025-10-05 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000045
2025-10-12 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000054
2025-10-19 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000063
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000075
2025-11-02 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000086
2025-11-09 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000102
2025-11-16 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000033 0.000112
2025-11-23 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000035 0.000130
2025-11-30 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000038 0.000153
2025-12-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000039 0.000168
2025-12-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000041 0.000189
2025-12-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000043 0.000215